Dollar’s Decline: Crypto’s Quarter to Shine, Says Raoul Pal

Dollar Drops, Crypto Rises: What’s the Connection?

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been going down lately, and guess what? The crypto world is all excited about it! Let’s find out why a falling dollar could mean good news for cryptocurrencies.

What’s the US Dollar Index (DXY)?

The DXY is like a report card for the US dollar. It shows how strong the dollar is compared to other major currencies like the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound[5]. When the DXY goes down, it means the dollar is getting weaker.

DXY and Cryptocurrencies: Opposite Sides of the Same Coin

You might think that the value of the US dollar and cryptocurrencies are totally different things, but they’re actually connected. When the dollar is weak, people often look for other places to put their money, like cryptocurrencies. This can make the price of cryptocurrencies go up[1][5].

Cryptocurrencies are like a safety net for when the dollar is shaky. People think they’re a good way to protect their money from inflation and economic instability[5].

What’s Happening in the Market Right Now?

In early 2025, the DXY started to drop. On February 14, it fell by 0.5% to 97.23[1]. At the same time, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) started to get more expensive. BTC went up by 2.02% to $43,000, and ETH increased by 1.79% to $2,850[1].

Not only that, but the trading volumes for BTC and ETH also went way up. BTC’s volume increased by 15%, and ETH’s went up by 12%[1].

Altcoins Are Doing Great Too!

The weakening dollar has also been good for altcoins. On March 4, 2025, when the DXY fell to 95.23, altcoins like Ethereum, Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) got more expensive. Ethereum went up by 3.2%, Cardano by 4.1%, and Solana by 5.6%[3].

People are investing in these altcoins because they think they’re a good way to make money when the dollar is weak[3].

Technical Indicators Are Saying “Buy, Buy, Buy!”

There are special tools called technical indicators that help us understand what’s happening in the crypto market. Right now, these indicators are saying that it’s a good time to buy cryptocurrencies. For example, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin is at 65, which means there’s a lot of buying happening without it being too much[1]. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin also shows that the price is going up[1].

On top of that, the number of active Bitcoin addresses and the hash rate (which is like the network’s power) are both going up too[1]. This means that more people are using and supporting the Bitcoin network.

So, Is Crypto Going to Have a Great Quarter?

Let’s Wrap It Up

The DXY going down has been good for cryptocurrencies in the past, and it seems to be happening again now. When the dollar is weak, people invest in cryptocurrencies, which makes their price go up. Right now, technical indicators are saying that this trend might continue.

But remember, the crypto market can change really quickly, so it’s important to keep an eye on it and be careful with your investments.

References: cn.blockchain.news, huggingface.co, blockchain.news, radioelementi.it, supplychaingamechanger.com

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